The Buffalo Sabres enter the 2014 NHL draft with their highest
pick since 2003. That year, Darcy Regier and posse kept the fifth overall
selection to select Thomas Vanek out of the University of Minnesota. They haven’t held a pick in the top two since 1987, when Gerry Meehan made his first pick as general manager of the Sabres to select Pierre Turgeon first overall. There’s a
new sheriff in town with Tim Murray, but regardless, the Sabres will once again get an impact player at the top.
the most? There are always good players at the top of the draft, but this
year’s grouping still has question marks. Lacking a consensus, sure-fire
“stud”, the 2014 selection process is probably the most difficult to gauge in
the past 15 years. It’s also a situation that could see a flurry of trade action with teams outside of the top-10 jockeying for a juicier draft position. It would be very surprising if the top five spots go undisturbed.
– 121st
in the top two rounds, including three top-30 selections.
nightly if you can do it right, but the chances of the Sabres deploying that
strategy seem low. In fact, it makes excellent sense for the Sabres to bundle
some of their picks – starting with the current draft – in an effort to acquire
quality over quantity.
“middling”, and it would be seem to be in Tim Murray’s personality to
decisively pursue another player he feels good about without losing any
traction in preparation for a strong 2015 group. With all the second-round artillery, getting back to the 12-18 range seems feasible.
A reasonable situation would see Buffalo
stay at No. 2, and then stack their chips to get back into the first round much
in the manner that Darcy Regier did in 2012 when he swapped No. 21 and No. 42
to move back up to No. 14 to grab Zemgus Girgensons.
I’d be eyeballing the Detroit Red Wings as a partner. Ken Holland and crew currently sit at #15, but don’t have another selection until #76. They have traded down in recent years, moving back two spots in 2013 and then trading out of the round in 2011 and 2009. I suspect they’d listen if Murray called.
Or perhaps the Sabres can lessen the ante and get back into the later stages of the round much like Anaheim did in 2003, when a Ducks management team heavily influenced by Murray moved #36 and #54 to acquire the 28th pick to get Corey Perry.
With that in mind, could it be possible that the Sabres offer #39 and #49 to Chicago in exchange in for the 27th overall selection? Like Detroit, Chicago is also without a second round pick.
prepared to keep picking early on day two if deals don’t pan out. If in a
position of managing greater numbers, the Sabres could stretch the pipeline and
balance the number of entry-level contracts entering the system over the next
few years.
wave over the next three seasons, and if that deluge wasn’t enough, it’s
reasonable to think that their top picks in 2014 and 2015 will be on the
opening night roster in 2015-16. Staggering the development process for high-ceiling
players by leveraging the NCAA and European ranks would give the club extra
wiggle room and buy some time while stratifying the teeming young stable.
14th and 44th overall selections from 2012 used to add
Mikhail Grigorenko, Girgensons and Jake McCabe.
William Carrier (2013, 57th overall – STL) and Hudson Fasching
(2013, 118th overall – LAK), along with speedy, overachieving
third-rounder Nick Baptiste (2013, 69th overall), and you have a
pretty solid core to build around.
2010 and 2011 to get an idea what Tim Murray might be looking at heading into the
late-June selection process:
GRIGORENKO – ARMIA
POSSLER)
Many fans and members of the media seem to think that there is no way that the Sabres take a defenseman early in the draft, and maybe they’re right. After all, they chose two big rearguards with the 8th and 16th overall picks a year ago.
Ristolainen (19), and Nikita Zadorov (18), the club boasts perhaps the most
impressive under-25 defensive stable in the entire league. The assessment is
notable when considering how AHL All-Star Brayden McNabb (22) was scratched off
the depth chart, but the remaining group offers a nice blend of mobility,
physicality, and international experience.
Colts workhorse Aaron Ekblad from the conversation at #2, but then again, the Sabres
are just one trade away from needing another big, all-situations defender. And
hey, if he’s the best player on the board you should consider taking him.
their NHL blueline next season, and it’s not like they have too many in the system. If you’re truly building organizational depth,
you need to keep the wave moving, so don’t be surprised if the middle-to-late rounds see the Sabres add a couple of solid backend bodies.
elite puck mover. Myers, Ristolainen and McCabe are capable in their own right, but there is no power-play ace like Prince Albert’s Josh
Morrissey (WPG) or ex-Kitchener motor Ryan Murphy (CAR) in the system. They do
not have a guy who can fly down the ice like former Moose Jaw standout Morgan
Rielly (TOR). These types of players are often undersized, but pushing the pace
is key part of any team’s attack strategy, and I’m thinking the Sabres have room to add a pure offensive motor given their cache of picks.
depth in the entire NHL. They addressed the dearth with the acquisition of Cody
Hodgson and the selection of Mikhail Grigorenko, but with Hodgson looking more
and more like a viable top-line winger and Grigorenko being driven down a
longer route through the first two years of his contract, the top of the draft
could yield an elite, character glue guy down the middle of the ice to blend in
with the big-bodied wingers.
track to becoming a legit NHL right winger. The deadline additions of Hudson
Fasching (RW) and William Carrier (LW) added balance to the flanker depth,
while 2013 third-rounder Nick Baptiste matched Fasching in performing beyond his
draft spot to earn a pro deal. Justin Bailey led the Kitchener Rangers in
goals, and with another offseason of strength development, is expected to take
his game to a whole new level in 2014-15.
mentioning how J.T. Compher is cut from the same competitive cloth. The
Michigan standout is expected to be a key contributor for Team USA at the 2015 World Junior
Championship, but he’s not the only Sabres forward positioned well for a
tourney gig. In addition to Fasching, who was a member of Team USA in 2014, Baptiste,
Bailey, Connor Hurley and Sean Malone should also receive calls for summer
evaluation camps.
The top pick should yield an elite offensive force and future a captain. From there, I’d expect them to round out the pick set with a batch of intelligent forwards with good frames and a hard-hitting mentality. The Sabres need to keep adding guys who create chaos in front of opposing goalies and have the hands to bury pucks behind them.
Ryan Miller is out of the picture, and while I like where the depth chart is heading and how the stage is set for a compeition over the next few years, I still wonder if “the next one” is in house. After all, it’s not about the saves you make, but rather the goals you let in.
Over in Sweden, 2012 sixth-rounder Linus Ullmark was awarded the 2014 Honken Trophy as the
SHL’s top goaltender. He’s got the size and first-save ability that you like to
see, but needs to get a little quicker on his feet to succeed at the NHL level. He’ll remain in Sweden for another year before making his way over to the AHL.
Cal Petersen won the Dave Peterson Award as USA Hockey’s Goalie of the Year following a strong season with the USHL’s Waterloo Black Hawks. He’ll be heading to Notre Dame in the fall, where he’ll walk into a good situation right away that should see him pull the majority of starts. He’s got the quickness and technique needed to succeed, but is at least three years away from determining his next career steps.
the Rochester nets, with the long-limbed Lieuwen stealing starts away from
Hackett in the second half of the schedule. When both were re-called to Buffalo
late in the year, it was Hackett who looked like the more capable goaltender
before suffering a serious injury to his right knee. Lieuwen also ended the
year on the mend thanks to a concussion, but is expected to continue his upward development in 2014-15, the final year of his entry-level deal.
Americans. Nice athleticism, a quick glove, and an ability to play the puck
make the former free agent a compelling candidate. He’s proven to be a big game stopper in the
past, but a Russian stigma still exists in NHL nets. To date, there have only
been 11 goaltenders from Russia to grace the NHL.
Trophy. Yes, Semyen Varlamov had a great season en route to being named a
finalist this season, and yes, Andrei Vasilevskiy might be the best goaltender
outside of North America. Evgeny Nabakov and Ilya Bryzgalov have had nice
careers, but there’s a chance that Makarov pans out more along the lines of Anton
Khudobin (or Andrei Trefilov) than he does Nikolai Khabibulin, who to this day
is the only Russian to backstop a team to a Stanley Cup.
I’m not being ethnocentric here. Just pointing out numbers. If I have a chance at a quality, high end body with good reflexes and fundamentals in this draft, I just might go for it.
trend that sees a goalie taken in the first round in even-numbered years since
2006.
26th
Fleury were taken in the first round. Corey Crawford was a second round
selection. Jonathan Quick, Ben Bishop, Steve Mason…all taken in the third
round.
The list also includes all three 2013-14 Vezina Trophy finalists, and five of
the last six starters on the Cup winner.
2002) and Chris Osgood (54th overall, 1991), eight of nine Cup
winners since the lockout were backed by a goalie selected in the top 90.
backstop in the top three rounds. If that isn’t enough, you need to consider how a new batch
of up-and-comers in Vasilevskiy, Jake Allen, John Gibson and Robin Lehner were all taken in
the top-40 of their draft years. We’ll throw 2010 first-rounder Jack Campbell in there too, who despite injuries has been a big piece of the Texas Stars’ run to the Calder Cup (12-2, four shutouts, .942 save%).
Neuvirth from Washington? Neuvirth, the 34th player taken in 2006,
may just be the next hot reclamation project in the mold of Rask, Bishop,
Lehtonen and Mason, who were all traded from the teams that originally drafted
them.
And then there’s this:
| TEAM | LAST G TOP 3 RDS | TEAM | LAST G TOP 3 RDS |
| ANAHEIM | 2012 (3rd) | NASHVILLE | 2011 (2nd) |
| BOSTON | 2012 (1st) | NEW JERSEY | 2010 (3rd) |
| BUFFALO | 2006 (2nd) | NY ISLANDERS | 2013 (3nd) |
| CALGARY | 2012 (3rd) | NY RANGERS | 2007 (2nd) |
| CAROLINA | 2012 (3rd) | OTTAWA | 2013 (3rd) |
| CHICAGO | 2010 (2nd) | PHILADELPHIA | 2012 (2nd) |
| COLORADO | 2013 (3rd) | PHOENIX | 2010 (1st) |
| DALLAS | 2013 (2nd) | PITTSBURGH | 2013 (2nd) |
| DETROIT | 2012 (3rd) | ST. LOUIS | 2011 (3rd) |
| COLUMBUS | 2012 (2nd) | SAN JOSE | 2007 (3rd) |
| EDMONTON | 2011 (3rd) | TAMPA BAY | 2012 (1st) |
| FLORIDA | 2008 (2nd) | TORONTO | 2005 (1st) |
| LOS ANGELES | 2011 (2nd) | VANCOUVER | 2011 (3rd) |
| MINNESOTA | 2009 (3rd) | WASHINGTON | 2006 (1st, 2nd) |
| MONTREAL | 2013 (2nd) | WINNIPEG | 2013 (2nd) |
MURRAYLYTICS
With a new GM at the helm, it’s worth taking a dive into past history to study draft tendencies.
For instance, when Murray was Director of Player Personnel with the Anaheim Ducks from 2002-2005, he oversaw two drafts that yielded a total of 17 players. Seven of them went the NCAA route, three were European, and none of them were Russians.
Murray was part of two drafts with the New York Rangers while serving as Assistant Director of Player Personnel. Sole decision-making was not part of the gig in the Big Apple, but six of the 13 picks were of European descent. Two Russians were taken high during that time despite a lack of a transfer agreement in the form of Artem Anisimov (2006, 51st overall), and Alexei Cherepanov (2007, 17th overall).
The rising talent evaluator moved on to Ottawa from there. Of the 44 players taken between 2008-2013, no fewer than 11 (or 25%) of them were Swedes. The list includes highly regarded talents Erik Karlsson, Mika Zibanejad, Jakob Silfverberg, Robin Lehner and Markus Hogberg. They did not look to Finland, Russia, or the Czech Republic once during that time, while adding 14 players that were using the NCAA to advance their games.
And hey, Ottawa chose four goaltenders during Murray’s time with the Sens. Among them was one second-rounder and two third-rounders. The other, who was taken outside of the top-90, is re-entering this year’s draft.
SPREADING THE WEALTH
So what type of history is Murray inheriting in Buffalo? It may not matter much as the philosophy has shifted a bit over the years, but while adding a slew of new bird dogs, many of the same amateur scouts that have influenced the past are still driving this year’s board.
The last seven drafts have seen Kevin Devine et. al. mix it up a bit when making 56 total selections. To date, 32 of them have been signed to NHL entry-level contracts, including three of the 11 players taken in the 2013 extravaganza. In the last five years, eight the 12 players taken in the sixth and seventh rounds were passed over in previous years of eligibility.
| BUFFALO SABRES PICK DISPERSAL BY LEAGUE (2007-2013) | ||||||||
| 1ST | 2ND | 3RD | 4TH | 5TH | 6TH | 7TH | TOTAL | |
| WHL | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | |
| OHL | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 |
| QMJHL | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| USHS MW | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |||
| USHL | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | ||
| NCAA | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||||
| USHS NE | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||||
| FINLAND | 2 | 2 | ||||||
| SWEDEN | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||||
| AJHL | 1 | 1 | ||||||
| EJHL | 1 | 1 | ||||||
| TOTAL | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 56 |
| BUFFALO SABRES PICK DISPERSAL BY POSITION (2007-2013) | ||||||||
| 1ST | 2ND | 3RD | 4TH | 5TH | 6TH | 7TH | TOTAL | |
| C | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| LW | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | ||
| RW | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| LHD | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| RHD | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | ||||
| G | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | ||||
| TOTAL | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 56 |
LATVIAN LOVEFEST
Since Buffalo has their hearts and hopes wrapped around the young Latvian Girgensons, it’s worth mentioning five of his fellow countrymen that are back in the draft after being passed over in previous years.
At the top of the list is Edgars Kulda, a breakout star for the Edmonton Oil Kings who recently was named the Most Valuable Player at the 2014 Memorial Cup. Kulda went 30+30 in the regular season and added another 10+12 in the Oil Kings’ march to the WHL title. A fearless winger, Kulda collected eight points in five games at the Memorial Cup tourney, including a goal and two assists in the championship games versus Guelph.
Roberts Lipsbergs, listed as a sleeper for the 2013 draft class, is available following a second 30-goal season with the Seattle Thunderbirds. Lipsbergs led the Latvians with six goals in five games at the IIHF Division I Group A World Junior Championship in December, and was a point-per-game player in the playoffs with two goals and seven assists in nine games. He finished his season at the IIHF World Championship, where he auditioned for current Sabres bench boss Ted Nolan.
Completing the WHL trio is Rihards Bukarts, a talented scorer who played the past season with the Brandon Wheat Kings. Bukarts is a 5-foot-9, 190-pound stick of dynamite with excellent quickness and flashy hands. He scored 28 goals (tops among WHL rookies) and 54 points while adapting to the smaller surfaces and defensive nuances of North American hockey, and I can see an NHL club grabbing him late as a possible depth scorer.
From the QMJHL, 6-foot-1, 198-pound winger Nikita Jevpalovs could be intriguing in the later stages of day two. The 19-year old, who amassed nine points (5+4) for Latvia at the Division I Group A World Junior tourney, scored 28 goals and 54 points this past season for Blainville-Boisbriand. He added another 10 goals in 20 playoff games for the Armada.
Last on the list is Elvis Merzlinkins, a big, athletic goaltender coming off an excellent season with HC Lugano of the Swiss National League. The 6-foot-3 stopper stepped into top league duty in 2013-14, notching a 2.13 GAA and .924 save%. His technique is solid, and it’s possible he goes late as teams fish for some depth.
draft list finds at least a dozen names very familiar to the sport. None of the top-30 NHL point producers in 2013-14 have fathers who played at the game’s highest level, but that’s sure to change down the road. The developmental playing field certainly levels out when players hit the age of 20, but I happen to think that bloodlines are important leading up to being drafted.
Kapanen (Sami), and Brendan Perlini (Fred) are top-10 talents with fathers who
played in the NHL.
former Conn Smythe Trophy winners, while Josh Wesley (Glen) also saw his dad raise
the Stanley Cup.
boys with NHL roots.
Audette (Donald), Dominic Turgeon (Pierre) and Jack
Ramsey (Mike) all having fathers who were drafted by, and played for, the
Sabres. And we can’t forget Luc Snuggerud, whose Uncle Dave also put in a few good years in Buffalo.
THE PICKS
The first round has a core of four players at the top who are likely occupying the Sabres’ top of mind awareness. Please refer to my first round rankings at the Sabres official website for a deeper dive into the top names.
Based on the assumption that the Florida Panthers select Aaron Ekblad first overall, let’s just jump right in and make the pick:
overall
As mellow as they come off the ice, Reinhart is as smart as
they come on it. Reinhart is a calm, poised distributor who has a special playmaking gift that you can’t find elsewhere in the draft.
While a cerebral circulator, Reinhart ups his value with a keen finishing ability. The 18-year old tied for fourth in league scoring with 105 points this past season, along the way scoring the third-most even strength points in the entire league. The mastery rightfully earned the honor of WHL Player of the Year.
For fans, the Samson Reinhart vs. Samuel Bennett debate has raged on since the draft lottery. Both players produce consistent offense, and both can lead their teams through rough patches. While Bennett’s high-tempo, edgy style makes him a fantastic two-way player, and while his year-over-year trajectory is nothing short of outstanding, Reinhart’s smooth confidence and steadying influence displayed over the past three WHL seasons provides the right comfort level to invest.
For the Sabres, I might argue that the debate is more about Sam Reinhart versus Leon Draisaitl. The big German has an NHL body, great hands in tight and power around the edge that should see him advance his career rather quickly. Draisaitl matched Reinhart with 105 points, and was a quick-thinking, commanding presence down the stretch for the Prince Albert Raiders, but Reinhart’s three zone wits, preparation, and consistency give him the edge in my books.
Reinhart doesn’t make the high-energy highlight reels plays, and that’s OK. He’s crafty, disciplined, and exudes leadership qualities on and off the ice. His superb defensive positioning comes in handy on the penalty kill, and his uncanny ability to read and anticipate plays gets applied at both ends of the rink. I’ll take a MENSA hockey IQ all day long, and the Vancouver-area product knows where everyone is at all times and rarely makes a mistake. You cannot teach that – you either have it or you don’t – and Reinhart’s body of work both in WHL and at the international level gives me all the confidence needed to call his name.
I’m not going to beat myself up over the next 10 years comparing his career trajectory to those of Bennett, Draisaitl, Dal Colle, Nylander, Ritchie or even Ekblad (who I believe goes #1 to Florida), especially if the Sabres walk away with one (or two – thanks, Garth Snow) of Connor McDavid, Jack Eichel or Noah Hanifin in 2015. This is a two-year re-build through the draft.
***
So with the mention of trading back up, it’s
worth noting four candidates who the Sabres could consider if
they’re able to get back into the middle of the round.
Ivan Barbashev – C/LW, Moncton Wildcats (QMJHL)
The first overall selection in the 2012 CHL Import Draft, Barbashev has
carved out a reputation over the past two seasons as a highly skilled, hard-nosed worker who gets
the most out of his linemates. The well-rounded Russian is strong on his skates, using his body to compete in the high traffic areas and step in front of shots in the defensive zone. Aside from his obvious high-end talent that sees him zip crisp passes and convert with a quality shooting arsenal, I’m drawn to Barbashev’s heads-up awareness in all situations.
Some teams like to limit the Russian influence in their dressing room, and it’s worth noting that the Senators selected a total of zero Russian players in six drafts with Murray involved, but I have no reservations about adding his work ethic to the mix. Consistency will come, but Barbashev looks like he can do a little bit of everything. I think that in the right situation he’d be able to step into the NHL right away.
Jared McCann – C, Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds (OHL), 6’0″, 179 lbs.
Smart both ways with a great skating game and attention to detail, McCann is a polished, high-skill playmaker with an elite caliber shot and
honest two-way work ethic. His hands and vision are excellent, and his sense of the action has him hounding the puck with regularity. He produced just shy of a point-per-game this past season, but McCann’s speed and determination gives him value even when he’s not piling up the offensive stats. I really like this player.
The Sabres are looking to get the best players on the board, and I think McCann is a lock to be a bona fide NHL forward in just a few short years. His three-zone reliability and offensive work gives him the look of a solid second-liner with first-line upside. Targeting McCann would up the level of competition while adding some character to the dressing room.
Kevin Fiala – LW, HV 71 (SHL), 5’10”, 194 lbs.
Tim
Murray likes big forwards that play a “heavy game”, and while Fiala
doesn’t pack that massive, hard hitting frame, he certainly competes like a
much larger player. The whole size issue seems to give Fiala a chip on
his shoulder. Scouts like that, and if the fearless attitude continues,
he’ll get the room to put his excellent offensive instincts to use. Fiala’s meteroric rise has been remarkable, and the next 12 months should see him emerge as an elite European force. If he
can work on his consistency in his own end, he’ll level out the boom or
bust projection and possibly work his way into form as a top end NHL
scorer.
Julius Honka – RHD, Swift Current Broncos (WHL), 5’11”, 178 lbs.
Honka is a highly skilled offensive defenseman who models his game after Erik Karlsson. A willingness to play the body shows up in his defensive game, but Honka’s smooth mobility and ability to quickly cut up ice and gain the offensive zone make him one of the better puck movers in his class. He was solid all the way around during Finland’s run to World Junior gold, where he showcased his improved defensive smarts as the team’s youngest player.
Honka has a natural NHL look to him (thinking more along the lines of Kimmo Timonen), but some folks think he’s set for a slide come draft day thanks to a dropoff in production over the final two months of the season. With the Sabres set to go young on the blueline, Honka could arrive on the scene in two years and blend his scoring in among the bigger guys already in house. Targeting him as a trade-up, even if somewhere in the 20’s, could make sense for a rebuilding team.
overall
lbs.
No, probably not.
past teams like Chicago and New Jersey.
heavily consider it, especially if it means getting both the top forward and goalie
in the class.
yourself, but I’m not sure I see 30 other prospects better than Demko in this class.
lbs.
everything well, and Bleackley does just that without having one top-notch
standout skill. Bleackley shined as a 17-year old captain in the Western
league, using his strong two-way skills to ring up 29 goals and 68 points for a
mediocre Rebels squad. A strong skating game, ultra soft oft passing hands and a willingness to finish hits
round out a potential middle-line package that coaches love, and I would rush
to the stage to take him, especially if Demko is already off the board. He kind
of reminds me a guy who went 33rd in 2009.
195 lbs.
skating, McKeown could potentially go as high as 25th overall, making him a real option for Buffalo anywhere after. McKeown
can lug the puck up ice, but he really shines in the passing game with strong exit feeds and distribution on
the power play. He’s not a soft player, as he’s slowly starting to play the
body more. Continuing to get more involved in the physical battles should round
out a very solid prospect, but for now we like his overall foundation and offensive motion.
overall
peskiness and clutch scoring ability that made his father one of the greatest
playoff performers of the past 20 years. Scouts tracking Ekblad regularly noticed Lemieux making
things happen from between the hashmarks. His powerful cuts and heavy wrist shot helped
him score 27 times last season, and his disturbing presence near the crease
drew his share of attention from the opposition. When push came to shove,
Lemieux dropped the gloves three times, taking on guys who averaged 6-foot-4 and
216 lbs.
Lemieux has the wide body, cut frame and fearless attitude to compete in the NHL,
and it could happen rather quickly with another big year in Barrie. He’s your prototypical “bastard” who I’d love to have on my team (and would hate to play against).
Anton Karlsson – RW, Frolunda Indians J20 (SWE), 6’1.25”,
187 lbs.
A physical forward with a very capable offensive dimension,
Karlsson’s versatile mix of agitation and puck skills fits right into what the
Sabres are looking to build. His determination on the forecheck makes for a
tough assignment, and his strong skating makes him hard to handle when he
gets momentum with the puck.
Karlsson played a grind role at the U20 Worlds and was
blanked offensively at the U18s, but his size, two-way grit/energy/sandpaper/(enter other adjective to denote his toughness in battle), and
hands down low should see him occupy many different roles down the road. Karlsson
adding to his international resume over the next two years should make for a
strong North American candidate when he’s ready to take the leap.
lbs.
Doughterty is heading to the University of Wisconsin in the fall, where his
assertive, well-rounded mix should make an immediate impact in B1G play.
He’s an efficient puck mover who exhibits excellent passing skills and
sound defensive awareness. He limits his mistakes in the face of
pressure. On top of it all, the Minnesota native is very much engaged
physically. Adding strength and polishing up his skating game should see
the Minnesota native realize his NHL potential rather quickly.
overall
170 lbs.
(after a brief stint at forward) coincided with a six-inch growth spurt that
has left scouts drooling at his long-term potential. His all-around game, which includes some nasty, edgy tones, saw him shoot up the draft rankings prior to earning the CJHL Rookie of the Year (past winners include Claude Giroux).
Walman is aggressive moving the
puck up ice, combining a good handle with excellent vision and agility, and he’ll
get plenty of time to fill out his frame throughout his commitment to Nate
Leaman’s rising Providence College program. The Sabres might be over-investing
a touch at this spot in the draft, but their impressive stable gives them an opportunity to be patient
while monitoring Walman’s long-term development.
mentality, Donato has shredded the New England prep ranks with 66 goals in 58
games the past two seasons, many of them being “NHL” caliber. He doesn’t
possess blazing wheels, but he doesn’t need to with the style that he plays. He’s
very strong on his skates with elite playmaking sense, and his natural
instincts see him read and react quicker than many players in his age group.
Donato will get a chance to play for his father, former NHLer Ted, at Harvard
in the fall of 2015, setting up the potential for a dynamic duo with current
Sabres prospect Sean Malone while adding quickness to his tantalizing skill
set.
Jonas Johansson – G, Brynas IF J20 (Sweden), 6’4″, 198 lbs.
I got a brief glimpse of Johansson over the summer at the USA National Junior Evaluation Camp, and was particularly impressed with his great size and simple positioning. He’s s big, wide goalie with excellent athleticism and a great glove who forces you to pick corners by taking away the bottom shelf.
His size and butterfly style are similar to Robin Lehner, whose Murray’s
Sens picked at a similar spot (46th overall) back at the 2009 draft, and
he plays deep in his crease like fellow countryman Henrik Lundqvist. If
Johansson sees it, he stops it. Much like Demko before him, Johansson
can marinate for a few more years in a strong program and gain some valuable international experience before advancing up a level.
lbs.
An emerging secondary scorer, Aube-Kubel saw his stock rise
with a strong performance in the Memorial Cup semifinal that showed
that,
despite his lack of ideal size, he has the seam-splitting speed and
acceleration to
develop into a difference maker. He has excellent all-around offensive
skills, including a good handle on the puck and a swift release, and he
keeps his feet motoring in the defensive zone with tight turns and
attention to detail. The parts are in place for a versatile forward with a second line ceiling.
overall
6’1.5”, 200 lbs.
natural wing prospect who plays with speed and power. He’s tough on the puck,
using his size to win battles and jam things up around the net. The NTDP product
played a preparatory year in Dubuque, scoring 16 goals and 40 points in 53
games with Fighting Saints. He also knocked in two goals in four games at the
World Jr. A Challenge. His strength was apparent at the NHL Combine, with 18
bench press reps at 150 pounds (2nd most), and you just get the feel
that he’ll be able to step into a big league role after a few years of ironing
out his consistency in college.
190 lbs.
with a north/south style and good offensive instincts. Karabacek was a
consistent producer all season long in Gatineau (21-26-47), but really stepped
up in the playoffs with 12 points (6+6) in the Olympiques’ nine games. He added
more bling to his draft resume at the Under-18’s, where he notched three goals,
three assists and a team-best plus-four rating, all the while managing an
effective two-way effort highlighted by strong work in the corners and along
the boards.
lbs.
MacLeod’s upside as a mobile and rugged middle pair performer should see
him go in the
middle rounds. He’s simple and effective, using his size and snarl to
clean up around his net and get the puck out of the zone with quality
passes up ice. He handles the puck well, but his game is all about using
his body and executing open ice hits. Committed to
Boston University, MacLeod will have ample time to advance his
all-around game and grow
into a more pro-ready style.
Wallmark, a Sept. 5 birth date, went through his first draft
unclaimed but won’t go through a second time around. He’s a solid offensive performer with great vision, but his lack of explosion out of the blocks may hold him back a bit when he graduates up a level when things happen at a quicker pace. Still, his body of work against his peer group makes him worth a look in a draft short on skill. The Swede looked very good in top-six minutes at the 2014
World Junior Championship, posting three goals and eight points in seven tourney tilts.
five prospects somehow drops down.
overall
lbs.
game, Bergman’s up-tempo style makes for a compelling NHL prospect. His skating
and vision saw him rack up an impressive 13 goals and 34 points with Frolunda’s
junior squad, and there’s a chance that he sneaks on to Sweden’s 2015 World
Junior Championship entry with a strong start in 2014-15. He’s a bit of a long
term project, but his size and two-way foundation would make for a good value
pick if he slips past the top 100.
late following an excellent World U18s that saw him collaborate with William
Nylander to snag three goals 11 points in the tourney’s seven contests. He worked hard along the boards and made
some heady defensive plays as well in his U18 performance. Injuries hampered
his start of the year, but he eventually got it firing with 15 goals and 38 points in 33
junior contests to cement his status as a middle-round candidate. If his skating sees him drop past the fourth, the Sabres should seriously think of pulling the trigger. Holmstrom recently signed a three-year extension with Skelleftea, giving any interested suitor plenty of developmental flexibility.
lbs.
and an assist, Iverson is a strong, heavy forward who plays an intimidating brand. The edgy Minnesota native scored 22 goals and racked up 70 PIM last
season on Portland’s third line, giving scouts confidence that his size and
speed can translate to role player that can pop off his hard shot for some
secondary scoring. His big frame and low center of gravity makes him tough to
move from the center lane, and he likes to hit hard when applying pressure.
game and a team-first mindset. He’s good in battle along the boards, and he’s got the feet to take the puck to the net. Scrapping really isn’t his thing, but he’ll defend himself when he needs to. His consistent work ethic saw him elevate his game as 17-year old, potting 17 goals and finishing strong with 15 points in the final 16 regular season games, all the while supporting both sides of the special teams coin. I’m not sure he lasts to this spot following his five-goal, five-assist performance
in 14 playoff tilts, but he’s a worthy call if available.
overall
Clarke endured a massive slide throughout the 2013-14 campaign. Clarke potted
19 goals in 2012-13 as an OHL rookie, but responded with just two goals in his
much anticipated follow-up. With the disappointing season behind him, Clarke’s
north/south power game and heavy wrist shot still make for a sensible pick for a team
already loaded at forward. Why not take a player who could very well get his game back over the next two years? Bonus.
that scouts crave prior to undergoing season ending surgery to correct a torn
labrum in December. A sure top-90 prospect prior to the injury, it is hard
forecasting how much the down time will impact his draft stock. His size is a
plus, he plays an excellent positional game, and he gets around the ice quickly
with ease.
not very good in 2013-14, but Middleton was afforded opportunities to play in
different situations and even earned a spot in the CHL Top Prospects Game. There were spans of inconsistency throughout the season, but the experience should springboard to greater things down
the road. Tim Murray has scouted his share of junior games, and with much of
his past year spent in the Ottawa region, you have to wonder if his viewings have an impact on the process.
went on to produce 13 regular season goals to thrust his name into NHL draft
contention. An honest, rock-solid forward in all three zones, Foss uses his frame to compete
beneath the goal line and in front of the net. The size, skating and commitment are in place, so it’s all about getting stronger
and faster over the next two seasons if Foss wants to work his way into third or fourth
line professional role down the road.
yet effective game. Goals aren’t really Mantha’s thing despite packing a
blistering point shot (he potted just four in 105 USHL games over the last
three seasons), but the foundation to be a safe, crease-clearing pro is in
place. Improving his footwork and employing a nastier edge will help him
achieve his top end potential. He could play one more year in the USHL before continuing his development at the University
of North Dakota.
overall
perplexing. Sure, Carroll is in his third year of draft eligibility, but after
participating in a development camp with Phoenix and later the main camp with Anaheim, it seems he should be on the radar. At 6-foot-3, 214 pounds, Carroll hits, fights, and skates
well with a strong net presence. Western Conference style hockey is en vogue, and Carroll fits the bill. His 34 goals this season in Victoria prove that the
hands are there, making him totally worth a flier in the later stages. He’d step in and play for Rochester right away if you needed him to. Bonus points for Claude Lemieux being his agent.
Kyle Wood – RHD, North Bay Battalion (OHL), 6’5″, 229 lbs.
Wood overcame a regular season knee injury to put forth a strong second half
and eventually shine in the OHL playoffs with
10 points (2+8) in the Troop’s run to the league final. He has the
desirable size and intriguing offensive package that teams look for in a rearguard, but
it was really his all-around smarts that backboned his late-season surge. Wood was
ranked the 191st North American skater by Central Scouting, but his
playoff performance was a revelation to many scouts, and should see him
selected anytime after the third round.
athleticism came through with an encouraging showing last summer at the Ivan Hlinka
Memorial. Many see Wolff getting picked as early as the third or fourth rounds, but I’d hesitate investing that high in a player who, outside of the Select 17 Hockey Festival and subsequent international tourney, has rarely been tested beyond the Minnesota high school ranks. The hard-hitting defender will enroll at Minnesota-Duluth in 2015
following a year with the USHL’s Des Moines Buccaneers.
Olivier Leblanc – LHD, Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL), 6’0″, 160 lbs.
The Sea Dogs struggled this season, but the undersized defender showed his vision and puck moving skills with regularity to keep his name among late-round draft hopefuls. Like so many of his peers, he’ll need to add some serious muscle mass to his frame over the next two season to prepare for the next level, but there’s no doubting his sharp passing and confidence with the puck. Leblanc is well worth a late-round lottery ticket given his skating and playmaking skills.
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